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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Daviess, KY · ZIP 42301 · Census Tract 21059001300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$250K
Downside (P10)
$209K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$294K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$404K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $134K | $134K | $140K | $139K | $150K | $157K | $209K | $215K | $245K | $250K | $266K | $271K | $294K | $254K |
| YoY Change | +6.4% | +0.1% | +4.9% | -1.0% | +7.6% | +5.2% | +33.1% | +2.8% | +13.7% | +2.3% | +6.2% | +2.0% | +8.5% | -13.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $222K | $216K | $209K | $229K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $329K | $349K | $404K | $285K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$222K to $329K
40.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$229K to $285K
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utica-Stanley · Owensboro · (Tract 13) | $252K | $294K | +16.6% | |
| Utica-Stanley (Tract 001800) | $257K | $291K | +13.3% | |
| Utica-Stanley (Tract 001703) | $233K | $259K | +11.4% | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000700) | $244K | $269K | +10.2% | |
| Owensboro (Tract 001100) | $248K | $272K | +9.8% | |
| Whitesville-Philpot | $255K | $278K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utica-Stanley · Owensboro · (Tract 13) | $252K | $294K | +16.6% | |
| Owensboro (Tract 001200) | $181K | $211K | +16.7% | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000800) | $145K | $165K | +13.6% | |
| Utica-Stanley (Tract 001800) | $257K | $291K | +13.3% | |
| Utica-Stanley (Tract 001703) | $233K | $259K | +11.4% | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000300) | $129K | $143K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utica-Stanley · Owensboro · (Tract 13) | $252K | $294K | $196K | |
| Whitesville-Philpot | $124K | $129K | $79K | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000402) | $113K | $117K | $61K | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000500) | $115K | $123K | $55K | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000100) | $106K | $116K | $53K | |
| Owensboro (Tract 000200) | $76K | $79K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.