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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bullitt, KY · ZIP 40165 · Census Tract 21029021103 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$375K
Downside (P10)
$318K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$417K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$564K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $308K | $280K | $315K | $344K | $362K | $375K | $387K | $408K | $417K |
| YoY Change | -9.1% | +12.6% | +9.2% | +5.3% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $321K | $314K | $318K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $467K | $491K | $564K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$321K to $467K
37.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$318K to $564K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Southeast · Shepherdsville · (Tract 211.3) | $367K | $417K | +13.9% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020300) | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020401) | $303K | $341K | +12.7% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020201) | $355K | $378K | +6.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020402) | $318K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020202) | $302K | $319K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Southeast · Shepherdsville · (Tract 211.3) | $367K | $417K | +13.9% | |
| Lebanon Junction | $188K | $227K | +20.7% | |
| Hillview | $174K | $209K | +20.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020300) | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020101) | $273K | $311K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Southeast · Shepherdsville · (Tract 211.3) | $367K | $417K | $246K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | $124K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020900) | $232K | $248K | $121K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020800) | $178K | $184K | $117K | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $199K | $213K | $105K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020704) | $126K | $128K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.