What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21015070404 in Hebron · 41048 · (Tract 704.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $402,412 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21015070404 in Hebron · 41048 · (Tract 704.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $402,412 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

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Parcel 21015070404 (Hebron) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21015070404, Hebron · 41048 · (Tract 704.4) Home Price Forecast

Boone, KY · ZIP 41048 · Census Tract 21015070404 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$402K

Downside (P10)

$361K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$420K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$580K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$311K	$298K	$334K	$352K	$381K	$402K	$409K	$418K	$420K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,212	-$104,912	-$68,912	-$50,012	-$21,812		+$6,538	+$15,294	+$17,972
Growth % vs 2026	-22.7%	-26.1%	-17.1%	-12.4%	-5.4%		+1.6%	+3.8%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$371K	$361K	$361K
Upside (P90)							$483K	$519K	$580K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$371K to $483K

27.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$361K to $580K

52.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21015070404, Hebron · 41048 · (Tract 704.4) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).