What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21011970202 in Owingsville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $124,927 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21011970202 in Owingsville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $124,927 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.4%.

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Parcel 21011970202 (Owingsville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21011970202, Owingsville Home Price Forecast

Bath, KY · ZIP 40360 · Census Tract 21011970202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$125K

Downside (P10)

$107K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$138K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$187K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$96K	$97K	$98K	$110K	$120K	$125K	$129K	$132K	$138K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$28,827	-$27,927	-$26,927	-$15,327	-$4,927		+$3,805	+$6,684	+$12,988
Growth % vs 2026	-23.1%	-22.4%	-21.6%	-12.3%	-3.9%		+3.0%	+5.3%	+10.4%
Downside (P10)							$111K	$108K	$107K
Upside (P90)							$158K	$168K	$187K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$111K to $158K

36.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$107K to $187K

58.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.4% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21011970202, Owingsville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).