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Barren, KY · ZIP 42141 · Census Tract 21009950402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$181K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $150K | $176K | $154K | $202K | $205K | $209K | $213K | $218K |
| YoY Change | +11.8% | +17.2% | -12.5% | +31.1% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $187K | $185K | $181K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $240K | $263K | $292K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$187K to $240K
25.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$181K to $292K
51.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow · 42141 · (Tract 9504.2) | $206K | $218K | +5.8% | |
| Rocky Hill | $185K | $216K | +16.5% | |
| Temple Hill | $189K | $208K | +10.2% | |
| Glasgow (Tract 950701) | $213K | $225K | +5.7% | |
| Glasgow (Tract 950702) | $221K | $233K | +5.3% | |
| Tracy | $192K | $190K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow · 42141 · (Tract 9504.2) | $206K | $218K | +5.8% | |
| Cave City | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Rocky Hill | $185K | $216K | +16.5% | |
| Glasgow | $174K | $195K | +12.1% | |
| Temple Hill | $189K | $208K | +10.2% | |
| Hiseville | $239K | $263K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow · 42141 · (Tract 9504.2) | $206K | $218K | $111K | |
| Glasgow (Tract 950601) | $158K | $162K | $90K | |
| Glasgow (Tract 950500) | $174K | $195K | $86K | |
| Cave City (Tract 950300) | $161K | $176K | $78K | |
| Cave City (Tract 950200) | $154K | $184K | $77K | |
| Glasgow (Tract 950401) | $148K | $159K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.