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Adair, KY · ZIP 42728 · Census Tract 21001970402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$157K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $90K | $94K | $102K | $114K | $134K | $144K | $125K | $144K | $145K | $148K | $153K | $154K | $156K | $157K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +9.2% | +11.2% | +17.7% | +7.7% | -13.8% | +15.5% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $138K | $130K | $128K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $207K | $219K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$138K to $188K
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$128K to $219K
58.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 42728 · (Tract 9704.2) | $152K | $157K | +3.3% | |
| Cane Valley | $160K | $183K | +14.2% | |
| Columbia | $174K | $179K | +2.9% | |
| Glens Fork | $119K | $129K | +8.5% | |
| Casey Creek | $111K | $125K | +11.9% | |
| White Oak | $96K | $106K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 42728 · (Tract 9704.2) | $152K | $157K | +3.3% | |
| Cane Valley | $160K | $183K | +14.2% | |
| Casey Creek | $111K | $125K | +11.9% | |
| White Oak | $96K | $106K | +10.6% | |
| Glens Fork | $119K | $129K | +8.5% | |
| Columbia | $174K | $179K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 42728 · (Tract 9704.2) | $152K | $157K | $91K | |
| White Oak | $96K | $106K | $50K | |
| Casey Creek | $111K | $125K | $71K | |
| Glens Fork | $119K | $129K | $76K | |
| Columbia | $174K | $179K | $92K | |
| Cane Valley | $160K | $183K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.