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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Shawnee, KS · ZIP 66611 · Census Tract 20177001601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$129K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$215K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $108K | $111K | $103K | $99K | $98K | $100K | $124K | $125K | $153K | $156K | $154K | $162K | $168K |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | +3.0% | -7.4% | -3.4% | -1.2% | +1.6% | +24.1% | +0.7% | +22.7% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +4.7% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $129K | $132K | $129K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $190K | $204K | $215K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$129K to $190K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$129K to $215K
51.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topeka · 66611 · (Tract 16.1) | $156K | $168K | +7.2% | |
| Topeka (Tract 001603) | $149K | $165K | +10.5% | |
| Topeka (Tract 000500) | $154K | $169K | +9.4% | |
| Topeka (Tract 002601) | $158K | $170K | +7.6% | |
| Topeka (Tract 002500) | $161K | $170K | +5.4% | |
| Topeka (Tract 003701) | $169K | $175K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topeka · 66611 · (Tract 16.1) | $156K | $168K | +7.2% | |
| Topeka (Tract 002402) | $254K | $294K | +15.8% | |
| Topeka (Tract 000600) | $88K | $101K | +15.0% | |
| Topeka (Tract 001604) | $214K | $246K | +14.7% | |
| Soldier | $267K | $303K | +13.4% | |
| Topeka (Tract 001500) | $96K | $109K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topeka · 66611 · (Tract 16.1) | $156K | $168K | $86K | |
| Topeka (Tract 001200) | $65K | $72K | $33K | |
| Topeka (Tract 002900) | $57K | $62K | $33K | |
| Topeka (Tract 000400) | $54K | $56K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.