What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20173009901 in Rockford · Derby · (Tract 99.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $304,013 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -0.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20173009901 in Rockford · Derby · (Tract 99.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $304,013 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -0.5%.

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Parcel 20173009901 (Rockford) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20173009901, Rockford · Derby · (Tract 99.1) Home Price Forecast

Sedgwick, KS · ZIP 67037 · Census Tract 20173009901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$304K

Downside (P10)

$216K

-29% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$303K

-0% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$416K

+37% by 2030

Base case: -0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$223K	$227K	$267K	$280K	$302K	$304K	$297K	$301K	$303K	$314K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$80,613	-$77,213	-$37,313	-$24,513	-$2,213		-$6,650	-$3,130	-$1,502	+$9,905
Growth % vs 2026	-26.5%	-25.4%	-12.3%	-8.1%	-0.7%		-2.2%	-1.0%	-0.5%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$253K	$239K	$216K	$279K
Upside (P90)							$357K	$391K	$416K	$362K

Forecast Confidence

86%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$253K to $357K

34.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$279K to $362K

26.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 26%

·The forecast implies mild near-term softness followed by longer-term recovery.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20173009901, Rockford · Derby · (Tract 99.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).