Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Lyon, KS · ZIP 66801 · Census Tract 20111000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$239K
Downside (P10)
$195K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$324K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $124K | $141K | $144K | $126K | $150K | $155K | $155K | $175K | $229K | $239K | $245K | $252K | $256K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$128,159 | -$114,659 | -$97,759 | -$94,459 | -$112,959 | -$88,859 | -$83,759 | -$83,159 | -$63,559 | -$9,359 | +$6,923 | +$13,009 | +$17,165 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.7% | -48.1% | -41.0% | -39.6% | -47.4% | -37.2% | -35.1% | -34.9% | -26.6% | -3.9% | +2.9% | +5.5% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $194K | $189K | $195K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $290K | $315K | $324K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$194K to $290K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$195K to $324K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | +9.8% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000103) | $166K | $191K | +15.1% | |
| Elmendaro area | $195K | $213K | +9.2% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000202) | $280K | $305K | +8.9% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000201) | $174K | $186K | +6.7% | |
| Ivy area | $209K | $217K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | +9.8% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000500) | $73K | $85K | +15.7% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000103) | $166K | $191K | +15.1% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000203) | $163K | $184K | +12.6% | |
| Elmendaro area | $195K | $213K | +9.2% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000202) | $280K | $305K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | $129K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000400) | $160K | $166K | $93K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000201) | $174K | $186K | $80K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000101) | $102K | $109K | $64K | |
| Emporia area | $104K | $110K | $59K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000500) | $73K | $85K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lyon, KS · ZIP 66801 · Census Tract 20111000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$239K
Downside (P10)
$195K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$324K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $124K | $141K | $144K | $126K | $150K | $155K | $155K | $175K | $229K | $239K | $245K | $252K | $256K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$128,159 | -$114,659 | -$97,759 | -$94,459 | -$112,959 | -$88,859 | -$83,759 | -$83,159 | -$63,559 | -$9,359 | +$6,923 | +$13,009 | +$17,165 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.7% | -48.1% | -41.0% | -39.6% | -47.4% | -37.2% | -35.1% | -34.9% | -26.6% | -3.9% | +2.9% | +5.5% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $194K | $189K | $195K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $290K | $315K | $324K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$194K to $290K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$195K to $324K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | +9.8% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000103) | $166K | $191K | +15.1% | |
| Elmendaro area | $195K | $213K | +9.2% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000202) | $280K | $305K | +8.9% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000201) | $174K | $186K | +6.7% | |
| Ivy area | $209K | $217K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | +9.8% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000500) | $73K | $85K | +15.7% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000103) | $166K | $191K | +15.1% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000203) | $163K | $184K | +12.6% | |
| Elmendaro area | $195K | $213K | +9.2% | |
| Emporia (Tract 000202) | $280K | $305K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americus area | $233K | $256K | $129K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000400) | $160K | $166K | $93K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000201) | $174K | $186K | $80K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000101) | $102K | $109K | $64K | |
| Emporia area | $104K | $110K | $59K | |
| Emporia (Tract 000500) | $73K | $85K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
