Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Johnson, KS · ZIP 66061 · Census Tract 20091052904 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$337K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $177K | $183K | $189K | $195K | $221K | $232K | $268K | $287K | $297K | $308K | $315K | $322K | $337K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +3.4% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +13.4% | +4.9% | +15.9% | +7.0% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +2.2% | +2.3% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $283K | $278K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $365K | $392K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$278K to $346K
21.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $392K
33.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe · 66061 · (Tract 529.4) | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Olathe (Tract 052907) | $306K | $361K | +17.9% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053004) | $306K | $345K | +12.7% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051909) | $304K | $334K | +9.7% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053604) | $303K | $315K | +4.1% | |
| Olathe (Tract 053507) | $311K | $307K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe · 66061 · (Tract 529.4) | $302K | $337K | +11.6% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 051803) | $295K | $359K | +21.5% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053201) | $574K | $681K | +18.8% | |
| Lenexa | $470K | $557K | +18.3% | |
| Overland Park (Tract 053431) | $680K | $802K | +18.0% | |
| Olathe | $306K | $361K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olathe · 66061 · (Tract 529.4) | $302K | $337K | $114K | |
| Overland Park | $280K | $308K | $121K | |
| Gardner | $216K | $221K | $117K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052908) | $281K | $299K | $113K | |
| Shawnee | $169K | $183K | $96K | |
| Olathe (Tract 052905) | $160K | $174K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.