What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20051072801 in Hays?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $217,224 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20051072801 in Hays?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $217,224 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

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Parcel 20051072801 (Hays) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20051072801, Hays Home Price Forecast

Ellis, KS · ZIP 67601 · Census Tract 20051072801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$217K

Downside (P10)

$182K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$226K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$317K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$202K	$195K	$217K	$221K	$213K	$217K	$218K	$226K	$226K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$15,724	-$22,024	+$176	+$3,276	-$3,824		+$1,089	+$8,738	+$9,019
Growth % vs 2026	-7.2%	-10.1%	+0.1%	+1.5%	-1.8%		+0.5%	+4.0%	+4.2%
Downside (P10)							$192K	$195K	$182K
Upside (P90)							$273K	$285K	$317K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$192K to $273K

37.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$182K to $317K

59.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.2% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20051072801, Hays on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).