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Vanderburgh, IN · Census Tract 18163280005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$457K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$643K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$985K
+116% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +116%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $457K | $522K | $564K | $607K | $643K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$65,559 | +$107,449 | +$150,378 | +$186,556 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.4% | +23.5% | +32.9% | +40.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $391K | $398K | $421K | $428K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $660K | $756K | $867K | $985K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$391K to $660K
51.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$428K to $985K
86.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | +40.8% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 160002) | $501K | $786K | +57.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 360006) | $534K | $829K | +55.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 400005) | $499K | $713K | +43.1% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 200001) | $491K | $653K | +33.1% | |
| Center | $322K | $349K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | +40.8% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 160002) | $501K | $786K | +57.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 360006) | $534K | $829K | +55.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 400005) | $499K | $713K | +43.1% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 200001) | $491K | $653K | +33.1% | |
| Knight | $234K | $270K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | $556K | |
| Evansville (Tract 001400) | $97K | $95K | $23K | |
| Evansville (Tract 002100) | $57K | $58K | $15K | |
| Evansville (Tract 001900) | $55K | $54K | $14K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Vanderburgh, IN · Census Tract 18163280005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$457K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$643K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$985K
+116% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +116%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $457K | $522K | $564K | $607K | $643K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$65,559 | +$107,449 | +$150,378 | +$186,556 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.4% | +23.5% | +32.9% | +40.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $391K | $398K | $421K | $428K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $660K | $756K | $867K | $985K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$391K to $660K
51.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$428K to $985K
86.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | +40.8% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 160002) | $501K | $786K | +57.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 360006) | $534K | $829K | +55.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 400005) | $499K | $713K | +43.1% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 200001) | $491K | $653K | +33.1% | |
| Center | $322K | $349K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | +40.8% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 160002) | $501K | $786K | +57.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 360006) | $534K | $829K | +55.0% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 400005) | $499K | $713K | +43.1% | |
| Vanderburgh (Tract 200001) | $491K | $653K | +33.1% | |
| Knight | $234K | $270K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280005 | $457K | $643K | $556K | |
| Evansville (Tract 001400) | $97K | $95K | $23K | |
| Evansville (Tract 002100) | $57K | $58K | $15K | |
| Evansville (Tract 001900) | $55K | $54K | $14K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
