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St. Joseph, IN · ZIP 46556 · Census Tract 18141011203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$143K
Downside (P10)
$122K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$155K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$225K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $117K | $123K | $128K | $144K | $143K | $147K | $153K | $155K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,373 | -$26,873 | -$20,573 | -$15,473 | +$727 | +$3,744 | +$10,101 | +$11,889 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.4% | -18.7% | -14.3% | -10.8% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +7.0% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $127K | $127K | $122K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $171K | $190K | $225K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$127K to $171K
29.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$122K to $225K
66.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | +8.7% | |
| Lincoln | $149K | $162K | +8.7% | |
| South Bend (Tract 000301) | $147K | $158K | +7.5% | |
| Mishawaka (Tract 010202) | $137K | $146K | +6.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 002000) | $137K | $143K | +4.8% | |
| Mishawaka (Tract 010700) | $142K | $147K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | +8.7% | |
| Centre (Tract 011801) | $239K | $284K | +19.0% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001000) | $288K | $334K | +16.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011804) | $219K | $254K | +15.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Union | $246K | $282K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | $102K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003400) | $66K | $68K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003100) | $83K | $92K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002300) | $53K | $58K | $39K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002400) | $61K | $63K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Joseph, IN · ZIP 46556 · Census Tract 18141011203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$143K
Downside (P10)
$122K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$155K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$225K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $117K | $123K | $128K | $144K | $143K | $147K | $153K | $155K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,373 | -$26,873 | -$20,573 | -$15,473 | +$727 | +$3,744 | +$10,101 | +$11,889 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.4% | -18.7% | -14.3% | -10.8% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +7.0% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $127K | $127K | $122K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $171K | $190K | $225K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$127K to $171K
29.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$122K to $225K
66.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | +8.7% | |
| Lincoln | $149K | $162K | +8.7% | |
| South Bend (Tract 000301) | $147K | $158K | +7.5% | |
| Mishawaka (Tract 010202) | $137K | $146K | +6.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 002000) | $137K | $143K | +4.8% | |
| Mishawaka (Tract 010700) | $142K | $147K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | +8.7% | |
| Centre (Tract 011801) | $239K | $284K | +19.0% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001000) | $288K | $334K | +16.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011804) | $219K | $254K | +15.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Union | $246K | $282K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame area | $143K | $155K | $102K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003400) | $66K | $68K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003100) | $83K | $92K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002300) | $53K | $58K | $39K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002400) | $61K | $63K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
