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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
St. Joseph, IN · ZIP 46545 · Census Tract 18141010600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$125K
Downside (P10)
$104K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$135K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$167K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $82K | $81K | $84K | $88K | $97K | $98K | $113K | $117K | $124K | $125K | $127K | $132K | $135K |
| YoY Change | -2.7% | -1.2% | +4.1% | +5.0% | +9.4% | +1.3% | +15.2% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $107K | $108K | $104K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $148K | $156K | $167K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$107K to $148K
31.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$104K to $167K
46.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mishawaka | $126K | $135K | +7.2% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Portage | $127K | $141K | +11.2% | |
| South Bend (Tract 000100) | $122K | $135K | +10.8% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001300) | $121K | $131K | +8.1% | |
| South Bend (Tract 003300) | $130K | $131K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mishawaka | $126K | $135K | +7.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011801) | $239K | $284K | +19.0% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001000) | $288K | $334K | +16.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011804) | $219K | $254K | +15.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Union | $246K | $282K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mishawaka | $126K | $135K | $62K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003400) | $66K | $68K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003100) | $83K | $92K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002300) | $53K | $58K | $39K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002400) | $61K | $63K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.