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Jay, IN · ZIP 47371 · Census Tract 18075963000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$108K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$138K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $108K | $109K | $113K | $118K | $109K |
| YoY Change | +0.8% | +3.5% | +5.0% | -8.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $92K | $86K | $97K | |
| Upside (P90) | $128K | $134K | $138K | $123K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$92K to $128K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$97K to $123K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 350500) | $107K | $118K | +10.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 340400) | $109K | $118K | +8.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 342500) | $107K | $116K | +8.1% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 350800) | $110K | $118K | +8.0% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 330803) | $108K | $114K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noblesville | $414K | $506K | +22.1% | |
| Wayne (Tract 003600) | $132K | $160K | +21.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 310113) | $592K | $720K | +21.7% | |
| Wayne (Tract 110101) | $295K | $357K | +21.2% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 320500) | $345K | $416K | +20.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.