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Indianapolis, IN · ZIP 46224 · Census Tract 18097341904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$229K
Downside (P10)
$193K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$261K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $130K | $130K | $141K | $143K | $143K | $154K | $175K | $194K | $212K | $229K | $234K | $246K | $261K |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | +0.2% | +7.9% | +1.8% | -0.4% | +7.8% | +14.1% | +10.7% | +9.0% | +8.3% | +2.3% | +5.2% | +6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $199K | $200K | $193K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $284K | $312K | $348K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$199K to $284K
36.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$193K to $348K
59.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) | $219K | $261K | +19.1% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 322700) | $228K | $255K | +11.8% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 340101) | $230K | $254K | +10.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 380700) | $229K | $251K | +9.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 320600) | $227K | $244K | +7.6% | |
| Lawrence | $230K | $237K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) | $219K | $261K | +19.1% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 310113) | $592K | $720K | +21.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 320500) | $345K | $416K | +20.3% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 321300) | $340K | $404K | +18.9% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 354202) | $359K | $427K | +18.8% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 310105) | $246K | $291K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) | $219K | $261K | $155K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 357400) | $94K | $99K | $48K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 355600) | $92K | $93K | $46K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 358100) | $88K | $92K | $43K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 356400) | $88K | $94K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.