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Hamilton, IN · ZIP 46040 · Census Tract 18057110813 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$545K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$587K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$756K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $476K | $454K | $499K | $548K | $524K | $545K | $554K | $567K | $587K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,128 | -$91,428 | -$45,728 | +$2,573 | -$20,828 | +$8,718 | +$21,741 | +$41,598 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -12.7% | -16.8% | -8.4% | +0.5% | -3.8% | +1.6% | +4.0% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $473K | $460K | $431K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $689K | $723K | $756K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$473K to $689K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $756K
55.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | +11.0% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110912) | $501K | $539K | +7.5% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110904) | $530K | $569K | +7.3% | |
| Fall Creek | $603K | $644K | +6.8% | |
| Westfield Washington | $510K | $528K | +3.7% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110907) | $567K | $565K | -0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | +11.0% | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110513) | $414K | $506K | +22.1% | |
| Wayne | $295K | $357K | +21.2% | |
| Fishers | $303K | $361K | +19.3% | |
| Carmel | $370K | $434K | +17.2% | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110512) | $434K | $499K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | $325K | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110514) | $384K | $409K | $159K | |
| White River | $282K | $315K | $135K | |
| Adams | $248K | $285K | $132K | |
| Delaware | $253K | $266K | $122K | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110700) | $192K | $204K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hamilton, IN · ZIP 46040 · Census Tract 18057110813 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$545K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$587K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$756K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $476K | $454K | $499K | $548K | $524K | $545K | $554K | $567K | $587K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,128 | -$91,428 | -$45,728 | +$2,573 | -$20,828 | +$8,718 | +$21,741 | +$41,598 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -12.7% | -16.8% | -8.4% | +0.5% | -3.8% | +1.6% | +4.0% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $473K | $460K | $431K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $689K | $723K | $756K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$473K to $689K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $756K
55.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | +11.0% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110912) | $501K | $539K | +7.5% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110904) | $530K | $569K | +7.3% | |
| Fall Creek | $603K | $644K | +6.8% | |
| Westfield Washington | $510K | $528K | +3.7% | |
| Carmel (Tract 110907) | $567K | $565K | -0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | +11.0% | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110513) | $414K | $506K | +22.1% | |
| Wayne | $295K | $357K | +21.2% | |
| Fishers | $303K | $361K | +19.3% | |
| Carmel | $370K | $434K | +17.2% | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110512) | $434K | $499K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall Creek | $529K | $587K | $325K | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110514) | $384K | $409K | $159K | |
| White River | $282K | $315K | $135K | |
| Adams | $248K | $285K | $132K | |
| Delaware | $253K | $266K | $122K | |
| Noblesville (Tract 110700) | $192K | $204K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
