Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Elkhart, IN · ZIP 46514 · Census Tract 18039001702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$136K
Downside (P10)
$120K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$142K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$180K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $60K | $66K | $67K | $78K | $79K | $79K | $90K | $105K | $114K | $130K | $136K | $138K | $143K | $142K |
| YoY Change | +10.0% | +0.6% | +17.1% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +14.2% | +16.5% | +8.5% | +13.8% | +4.5% | +1.6% | +4.0% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $122K | $124K | $120K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $167K | $178K | $180K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$122K to $167K
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$120K to $180K
42.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osolo · Elkhart · (Tract 17.2) | $133K | $142K | +6.7% | |
| Concord (Tract 002202) | $142K | $153K | +8.1% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 002400) | $139K | $149K | +7.4% | |
| Concord (Tract 001901) | $151K | $159K | +5.1% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 000201) | $147K | $152K | +3.7% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 002700) | $136K | $141K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osolo · Elkhart · (Tract 17.2) | $133K | $142K | +6.7% | |
| Cleveland | $191K | $224K | +17.3% | |
| Middlebury | $355K | $413K | +16.2% | |
| Elkhart | $203K | $235K | +15.9% | |
| Concord (Tract 002101) | $201K | $231K | +14.5% | |
| Concord (Tract 002201) | $166K | $190K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osolo · Elkhart · (Tract 17.2) | $133K | $142K | $60K | |
| Elkhart (Tract 000201) | $147K | $152K | $78K | |
| Elkhart (Tract 002400) | $139K | $149K | $77K | |
| Concord (Tract 001901) | $151K | $159K | $74K | |
| Concord (Tract 002102) | $110K | $113K | $71K | |
| Elkhart (Tract 002300) | $88K | $96K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.