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Tazewell, IL · ZIP 61611 · Census Tract 17179021202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$188K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$197K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$273K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $164K | $160K | $157K | $160K | $162K | $158K | $163K | $186K | $182K | $180K | $188K | $200K | $196K | $197K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$23,307 | -$28,007 | -$30,707 | -$28,007 | -$25,807 | -$29,607 | -$25,007 | -$1,907 | -$5,507 | -$7,807 | +$12,529 | +$8,587 | +$9,687 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -12.4% | -14.9% | -16.4% | -14.9% | -13.7% | -15.8% | -13.3% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -4.2% | +6.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $156K | $146K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $253K | $273K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$149K to $235K
43.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$146K to $273K
64.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | +6.9% | |
| Little Mackinaw area | $181K | $195K | +8.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 022100) | $172K | $186K | +7.9% | |
| Morton | $205K | $215K | +4.8% | |
| East Peoria | $173K | $178K | +2.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 022200) | $205K | $207K | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | +6.9% | |
| Cincinnati | $138K | $160K | +16.2% | |
| Spring Lake | $165K | $192K | +16.0% | |
| Pekin (Tract 021000) | $103K | $117K | +14.1% | |
| Pekin (Tract 020600) | $118K | $134K | +13.4% | |
| Washington area | $276K | $312K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | $127K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020600) | $118K | $134K | $67K | |
| Pekin (Tract 021000) | $103K | $117K | $60K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020700) | $127K | $129K | $58K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020800) | $95K | $105K | $53K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020900) | $83K | $88K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tazewell, IL · ZIP 61611 · Census Tract 17179021202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$188K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$197K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$273K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $164K | $160K | $157K | $160K | $162K | $158K | $163K | $186K | $182K | $180K | $188K | $200K | $196K | $197K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$23,307 | -$28,007 | -$30,707 | -$28,007 | -$25,807 | -$29,607 | -$25,007 | -$1,907 | -$5,507 | -$7,807 | +$12,529 | +$8,587 | +$9,687 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -12.4% | -14.9% | -16.4% | -14.9% | -13.7% | -15.8% | -13.3% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -4.2% | +6.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $156K | $146K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $253K | $273K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$149K to $235K
43.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$146K to $273K
64.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | +6.9% | |
| Little Mackinaw area | $181K | $195K | +8.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 022100) | $172K | $186K | +7.9% | |
| Morton | $205K | $215K | +4.8% | |
| East Peoria | $173K | $178K | +2.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 022200) | $205K | $207K | +1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | +6.9% | |
| Cincinnati | $138K | $160K | +16.2% | |
| Spring Lake | $165K | $192K | +16.0% | |
| Pekin (Tract 021000) | $103K | $117K | +14.1% | |
| Pekin (Tract 020600) | $118K | $134K | +13.4% | |
| Washington area | $276K | $312K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Peoria | $185K | $197K | $127K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020600) | $118K | $134K | $67K | |
| Pekin (Tract 021000) | $103K | $117K | $60K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020700) | $127K | $129K | $58K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020800) | $95K | $105K | $53K | |
| Pekin (Tract 020900) | $83K | $88K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
