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St. Clair, IL · ZIP 62221 · Census Tract 17163503332 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$163K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$200K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $114K | $124K | $118K | $111K | $107K | $115K | $128K | $128K | $149K | $156K | $159K | $160K | $163K |
| YoY Change | -11.2% | +8.4% | -4.7% | -5.6% | -3.7% | +7.4% | +11.0% | +0.2% | +16.7% | +4.4% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $132K | $131K | $116K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $183K | $188K | $200K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$132K to $183K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$116K to $200K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Clair area | $153K | $163K | +6.7% | |
| Belleville (Tract 501900) | $159K | $184K | +15.8% | |
| Stookey area | $165K | $172K | +4.3% | |
| Belleville (Tract 501605) | $162K | $167K | +3.4% | |
| Caseyville (Tract 503416) | $156K | $161K | +3.3% | |
| Caseyville (Tract 503415) | $161K | $166K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Clair area | $153K | $163K | +6.7% | |
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | +16.8% | |
| O'Fallon | $198K | $231K | +16.6% | |
| Millstadt | $257K | $298K | +16.2% | |
| Belleville | $159K | $184K | +15.8% | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Clair area | $153K | $163K | $85K | |
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | $30K | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.