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Rock Island, IL · ZIP 61244 · Census Tract 17161020600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$97K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$100K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $65K | $56K | $55K | $54K | $58K | $63K | $94K | $83K | $98K | $96K | $97K | $98K | $100K | $100K | $99K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$31,880 | -$41,180 | -$41,680 | -$42,880 | -$38,780 | -$34,380 | -$3,480 | -$14,480 | +$620 | -$1,480 | +$1,382 | +$3,281 | +$3,186 | +$1,889 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.9% | -42.5% | -43.0% | -44.2% | -40.0% | -35.5% | -3.6% | -14.9% | +0.6% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $84K | $84K | $84K | $88K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $123K | $137K | $149K | $111K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$84K to $123K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$88K to $111K
23.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | +5.3% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023500) | $92K | $104K | +12.7% | |
| South Rock Island | $97K | $107K | +9.7% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 022800) | $105K | $112K | +6.6% | |
| Moline (Tract 021400) | $99K | $104K | +4.7% | |
| Moline (Tract 021700) | $99K | $102K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | +5.3% | |
| Hampton | $165K | $196K | +19.2% | |
| South Moline | $140K | $163K | +16.2% | |
| East Moline | $157K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | +14.9% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023100) | $172K | $197K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | $65K | |
| Moline | $83K | $88K | $48K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | $47K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 022600) | $80K | $90K | $39K | |
| Rock Island Arsenal | $82K | $83K | $38K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023600) | $76K | $81K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rock Island, IL · ZIP 61244 · Census Tract 17161020600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$97K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$100K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $65K | $56K | $55K | $54K | $58K | $63K | $94K | $83K | $98K | $96K | $97K | $98K | $100K | $100K | $99K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$31,880 | -$41,180 | -$41,680 | -$42,880 | -$38,780 | -$34,380 | -$3,480 | -$14,480 | +$620 | -$1,480 | +$1,382 | +$3,281 | +$3,186 | +$1,889 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.9% | -42.5% | -43.0% | -44.2% | -40.0% | -35.5% | -3.6% | -14.9% | +0.6% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $84K | $84K | $84K | $88K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $123K | $137K | $149K | $111K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$84K to $123K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$88K to $111K
23.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | +5.3% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023500) | $92K | $104K | +12.7% | |
| South Rock Island | $97K | $107K | +9.7% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 022800) | $105K | $112K | +6.6% | |
| Moline (Tract 021400) | $99K | $104K | +4.7% | |
| Moline (Tract 021700) | $99K | $102K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | +5.3% | |
| Hampton | $165K | $196K | +19.2% | |
| South Moline | $140K | $163K | +16.2% | |
| East Moline | $157K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | +14.9% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023100) | $172K | $197K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Moline area | $95K | $100K | $65K | |
| Moline | $83K | $88K | $48K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | $47K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 022600) | $80K | $90K | $39K | |
| Rock Island Arsenal | $82K | $83K | $38K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023600) | $76K | $81K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
