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Rock Island, IL · ZIP 61244 · Census Tract 17161020400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$157K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$186K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$244K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $128K | $130K | $136K | $137K | $129K | $136K | $142K | $172K | $168K | $170K | $173K | $178K | $186K | $174K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +1.4% | +4.8% | +0.6% | -5.8% | +5.2% | +4.6% | +21.5% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | -6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $160K | $157K | $154K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $198K | $228K | $244K | $198K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $198K
22.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$154K to $198K
25.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · East Moline · (Tract 204) | $175K | $186K | +6.5% | |
| Hampton | $165K | $196K | +19.2% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023100) | $172K | $197K | +14.4% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023000) | $169K | $184K | +8.7% | |
| Moline (Tract 021800) | $171K | $185K | +7.9% | |
| Moline (Tract 022000) | $166K | $167K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · East Moline · (Tract 204) | $175K | $186K | +6.5% | |
| Hampton | $165K | $196K | +19.2% | |
| South Moline | $140K | $163K | +16.2% | |
| East Moline | $157K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | +14.9% | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023100) | $172K | $197K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · East Moline · (Tract 204) | $175K | $186K | $87K | |
| Moline | $83K | $88K | $48K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023700) | $78K | $89K | $47K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 022600) | $80K | $90K | $39K | |
| Rock Island Arsenal | $82K | $83K | $38K | |
| Rock Island (Tract 023600) | $76K | $81K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.