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McHenry, IL · ZIP 60012 · Census Tract 17111870808 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$330K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$429K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$569K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $255K | $263K | $270K | $270K | $282K | $292K | $325K | $353K | $371K | $388K | $400K | $398K | $429K | $388K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,405 | -$133,105 | -$125,105 | -$118,805 | -$118,605 | -$105,905 | -$96,705 | -$63,205 | -$35,205 | -$16,905 | +$11,547 | +$9,783 | +$41,141 | -$23 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -34.3% | -32.2% | -30.6% | -30.5% | -27.3% | -24.9% | -16.3% | -9.1% | -4.4% | +3.0% | +2.5% | +10.6% | -0.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $344K | $330K | $342K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $534K | $569K | $438K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$349K to $472K
30.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $438K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | +13.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871110) | $394K | $446K | +13.2% | |
| Algonquin | $393K | $429K | +9.0% | |
| Seneca area | $379K | $411K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | +13.4% | |
| Algonquin | $306K | $367K | +20.0% | |
| Nunda | $253K | $299K | +18.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Coral | $350K | $403K | +15.2% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | $239K | |
| Marengo | $247K | $273K | $125K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870302) | $174K | $186K | $122K | |
| McHenry | $186K | $193K | $102K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870301) | $199K | $211K | $98K | |
| Algonquin | $172K | $185K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
McHenry, IL · ZIP 60012 · Census Tract 17111870808 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$330K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$429K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$569K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $255K | $263K | $270K | $270K | $282K | $292K | $325K | $353K | $371K | $388K | $400K | $398K | $429K | $388K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,405 | -$133,105 | -$125,105 | -$118,805 | -$118,605 | -$105,905 | -$96,705 | -$63,205 | -$35,205 | -$16,905 | +$11,547 | +$9,783 | +$41,141 | -$23 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -34.3% | -32.2% | -30.6% | -30.5% | -27.3% | -24.9% | -16.3% | -9.1% | -4.4% | +3.0% | +2.5% | +10.6% | -0.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $344K | $330K | $342K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $534K | $569K | $438K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$349K to $472K
30.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $438K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | +13.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871110) | $394K | $446K | +13.2% | |
| Algonquin | $393K | $429K | +9.0% | |
| Seneca area | $379K | $411K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | +13.4% | |
| Algonquin | $306K | $367K | +20.0% | |
| Nunda | $253K | $299K | +18.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Coral | $350K | $403K | +15.2% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunda | $379K | $429K | $239K | |
| Marengo | $247K | $273K | $125K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870302) | $174K | $186K | $122K | |
| McHenry | $186K | $193K | $102K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870301) | $199K | $211K | $98K | |
| Algonquin | $172K | $185K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
