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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
McHenry, IL · ZIP 60081 · Census Tract 17111870106 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$423K
Downside (P10)
$329K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$443K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$550K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $296K | $306K | $341K | $370K | $406K | $423K | $422K | $429K | $443K |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | +11.6% | +8.5% | +9.5% | +4.3% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $353K | $341K | $329K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $488K | $507K | $550K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$353K to $488K
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$329K to $550K
49.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Grove | $411K | $443K | +7.9% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871110) | $394K | $446K | +13.2% | |
| Algonquin | $393K | $429K | +9.0% | |
| Nunda | $431K | $469K | +8.9% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871112) | $443K | $479K | +8.1% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871107) | $439K | $467K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Grove | $411K | $443K | +7.9% | |
| Algonquin | $306K | $367K | +20.0% | |
| Nunda | $253K | $299K | +18.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Coral | $350K | $403K | +15.2% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Grove | $411K | $443K | $220K | |
| Marengo | $247K | $273K | $125K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870302) | $174K | $186K | $122K | |
| McHenry | $186K | $193K | $102K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870301) | $199K | $211K | $98K | |
| Algonquin | $172K | $185K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.