What is the home price forecast for Parcel 17111870106 in Spring Grove?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $422,979 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 17111870106 in Spring Grove?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $422,979 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.8%.

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Parcel 17111870106 (Spring Grove) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 17111870106, Spring Grove Home Price Forecast

McHenry, IL · ZIP 60081 · Census Tract 17111870106 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$423K

Downside (P10)

$329K

-22% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$443K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$550K

+30% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$296K	$306K	$341K	$370K	$406K	$423K	$422K	$429K	$443K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$126,679	-$117,279	-$81,879	-$52,779	-$17,479		-$1,095	+$5,952	+$20,359
Growth % vs 2026	-29.9%	-27.7%	-19.4%	-12.5%	-4.1%		-0.3%	+1.4%	+4.8%
Downside (P10)							$353K	$341K	$329K
Upside (P90)							$488K	$507K	$550K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$353K to $488K

31.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$329K to $550K

49.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.8% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 17111870106, Spring Grove on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).