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McDonough, IL · ZIP 61455 · Census Tract 17109011000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$96K
Downside (P10)
$76K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$97K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $100K | $98K | $95K | $87K | $79K | $81K | $87K | $92K | $95K | $96K | $96K | $97K | $97K |
| YoY Change | +2.1% | -2.2% | -2.4% | -8.7% | -9.0% | +2.3% | +7.0% | +6.0% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $84K | $84K | $76K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $127K | $136K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$84K to $122K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$76K to $136K
61.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Salem area | $95K | $97K | +1.9% | |
| Bushnell area | $79K | $88K | +10.5% | |
| Sciota area | $115K | $126K | +9.6% | |
| Macomb area | $96K | $102K | +5.9% | |
| Macomb (Tract 010401) | $95K | $100K | +5.4% | |
| Macomb (Tract 010402) | $110K | $112K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Salem area | $95K | $97K | +1.9% | |
| Emmet area | $187K | $213K | +14.0% | |
| Macomb area | $71K | $79K | +12.1% | |
| Bushnell area | $79K | $88K | +10.5% | |
| Sciota area | $115K | $126K | +9.6% | |
| Lamoine area | $129K | $138K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Salem area | $95K | $97K | $60K | |
| Macomb area (Tract 010600) | $96K | $102K | $53K | |
| Bushnell area | $79K | $88K | $52K | |
| Macomb (Tract 010401) | $95K | $100K | $46K | |
| Macomb (Tract 010402) | $110K | $112K | $42K | |
| Macomb area (Tract 010900) | $71K | $79K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.