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Lake, IL · ZIP 60047 · Census Tract 17097864515 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$487K
Downside (P10)
$430K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$541K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $393K | $414K | $462K | $418K | $403K | $419K | $405K | $463K | $473K | $476K | $487K | $502K | $529K | $541K | $499K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$93,480 | -$73,080 | -$24,680 | -$69,280 | -$83,480 | -$68,280 | -$82,380 | -$23,580 | -$13,480 | -$10,580 | +$15,166 | +$42,306 | +$54,448 | +$11,810 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -19.2% | -15.0% | -5.1% | -14.2% | -17.1% | -14.0% | -16.9% | -4.8% | -2.8% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +8.7% | +11.2% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $444K | $430K | $437K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $592K | $629K | $682K | $557K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$448K to $592K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$437K to $557K
24.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | +12.1% | |
| Vernon (Tract 864511) | $479K | $546K | +13.9% | |
| Libertyville (Tract 863903) | $476K | $541K | +13.7% | |
| Vernon (Tract 864518) | $494K | $522K | +5.5% | |
| Libertyville (Tract 863801) | $493K | $519K | +5.1% | |
| Ela | $481K | $504K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | +12.1% | |
| Round Lake Beach | $186K | $221K | +18.6% | |
| Waukegan | $154K | $183K | +18.6% | |
| Fremont | $249K | $290K | +16.4% | |
| Avon | $341K | $397K | +16.3% | |
| Grant | $288K | $334K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | $251K | |
| Waukegan (Tract 862700) | $168K | $178K | $87K | |
| Avon | $159K | $177K | $86K | |
| Waukegan (Tract 862604) | $144K | $162K | $82K | |
| Shields | $160K | $172K | $80K | |
| North Chicago | $128K | $132K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, IL · ZIP 60047 · Census Tract 17097864515 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$487K
Downside (P10)
$430K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$541K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $393K | $414K | $462K | $418K | $403K | $419K | $405K | $463K | $473K | $476K | $487K | $502K | $529K | $541K | $499K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$93,480 | -$73,080 | -$24,680 | -$69,280 | -$83,480 | -$68,280 | -$82,380 | -$23,580 | -$13,480 | -$10,580 | +$15,166 | +$42,306 | +$54,448 | +$11,810 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -19.2% | -15.0% | -5.1% | -14.2% | -17.1% | -14.0% | -16.9% | -4.8% | -2.8% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +8.7% | +11.2% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $444K | $430K | $437K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $592K | $629K | $682K | $557K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$448K to $592K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$437K to $557K
24.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | +12.1% | |
| Vernon (Tract 864511) | $479K | $546K | +13.9% | |
| Libertyville (Tract 863903) | $476K | $541K | +13.7% | |
| Vernon (Tract 864518) | $494K | $522K | +5.5% | |
| Libertyville (Tract 863801) | $493K | $519K | +5.1% | |
| Ela | $481K | $504K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | +12.1% | |
| Round Lake Beach | $186K | $221K | +18.6% | |
| Waukegan | $154K | $183K | +18.6% | |
| Fremont | $249K | $290K | +16.4% | |
| Avon | $341K | $397K | +16.3% | |
| Grant | $288K | $334K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon · Lake Zurich · (Tract 8645.15) | $483K | $541K | $251K | |
| Waukegan (Tract 862700) | $168K | $178K | $87K | |
| Avon | $159K | $177K | $86K | |
| Waukegan (Tract 862604) | $144K | $162K | $82K | |
| Shields | $160K | $172K | $80K | |
| North Chicago | $128K | $132K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
