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Chicago, IL · ZIP 60202 · Census Tract 17031810200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$232K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$246K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$396K
+71% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +71%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $166K | $165K | $165K | $177K | $228K | $200K | $216K | $215K | $231K | $232K | $236K | $235K | $246K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$62,662 | -$66,162 | -$67,262 | -$66,962 | -$54,762 | -$3,662 | -$32,462 | -$16,162 | -$17,362 | -$1,362 | +$3,554 | +$3,362 | +$13,835 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -27.0% | -28.5% | -29.0% | -28.9% | -23.6% | -1.6% | -14.0% | -7.0% | -7.5% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +6.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $209K | $200K | $205K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $304K | $330K | $396K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$209K to $304K
40.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$205K to $396K
77.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020702) | $227K | $263K | +16.0% | |
| Near Chicago | $234K | $267K | +13.9% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010201) | $240K | $273K | +13.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010600) | $229K | $258K | +12.4% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 030900) | $453K | $541K | +19.4% | |
| Chicago area | $841K | $1.00M | +19.0% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030200) | $535K | $629K | +17.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 071500) | $402K | $471K | +17.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 061100) | $627K | $735K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020301) | $223K | $235K | $111K | |
| Chicago (Tract 031300) | $172K | $193K | $99K | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | $98K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020500) | $182K | $190K | $75K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020902) | $124K | $138K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chicago, IL · ZIP 60202 · Census Tract 17031810200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$232K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$246K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$396K
+71% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +71%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $166K | $165K | $165K | $177K | $228K | $200K | $216K | $215K | $231K | $232K | $236K | $235K | $246K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$62,662 | -$66,162 | -$67,262 | -$66,962 | -$54,762 | -$3,662 | -$32,462 | -$16,162 | -$17,362 | -$1,362 | +$3,554 | +$3,362 | +$13,835 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -27.0% | -28.5% | -29.0% | -28.9% | -23.6% | -1.6% | -14.0% | -7.0% | -7.5% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +6.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $209K | $200K | $205K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $304K | $330K | $396K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$209K to $304K
40.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$205K to $396K
77.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020702) | $227K | $263K | +16.0% | |
| Near Chicago | $234K | $267K | +13.9% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010201) | $240K | $273K | +13.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010600) | $229K | $258K | +12.4% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 030900) | $453K | $541K | +19.4% | |
| Chicago area | $841K | $1.00M | +19.0% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030200) | $535K | $629K | +17.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 071500) | $402K | $471K | +17.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 061100) | $627K | $735K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020301) | $223K | $235K | $111K | |
| Chicago (Tract 031300) | $172K | $193K | $99K | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | $98K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020500) | $182K | $190K | $75K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020902) | $124K | $138K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
