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Chicago, IL · ZIP 60202 · Census Tract 17031810000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$350K
Downside (P10)
$296K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$380K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$500K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $269K | $276K | $288K | $290K | $290K | $290K | $288K | $319K | $341K | $346K | $350K | $361K | $362K | $380K | $361K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$80,364 | -$74,064 | -$61,764 | -$59,664 | -$59,564 | -$60,064 | -$61,464 | -$30,764 | -$8,864 | -$3,864 | +$11,024 | +$12,600 | +$30,002 | +$10,871 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.0% | -21.2% | -17.7% | -17.1% | -17.0% | -17.2% | -17.6% | -8.8% | -2.5% | -1.1% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +8.6% | +3.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $317K | $311K | $296K | $316K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $447K | $467K | $500K | $406K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$317K to $447K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$316K to $406K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 031200) | $346K | $380K | +9.9% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030703) | $346K | $376K | +8.7% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010202) | $348K | $369K | +6.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010100) | $347K | $367K | +5.8% | |
| Chicago (Tract 031000) | $350K | $367K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 030900) | $453K | $541K | +19.4% | |
| Chicago area | $841K | $1.00M | +19.0% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030200) | $535K | $629K | +17.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 071500) | $402K | $471K | +17.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 061100) | $627K | $735K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020301) | $223K | $235K | $111K | |
| Chicago (Tract 031300) | $172K | $193K | $99K | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | $98K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020500) | $182K | $190K | $75K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020902) | $124K | $138K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chicago, IL · ZIP 60202 · Census Tract 17031810000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$350K
Downside (P10)
$296K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$380K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$500K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $269K | $276K | $288K | $290K | $290K | $290K | $288K | $319K | $341K | $346K | $350K | $361K | $362K | $380K | $361K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$80,364 | -$74,064 | -$61,764 | -$59,664 | -$59,564 | -$60,064 | -$61,464 | -$30,764 | -$8,864 | -$3,864 | +$11,024 | +$12,600 | +$30,002 | +$10,871 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.0% | -21.2% | -17.7% | -17.1% | -17.0% | -17.2% | -17.6% | -8.8% | -2.5% | -1.1% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +8.6% | +3.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $317K | $311K | $296K | $316K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $447K | $467K | $500K | $406K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$317K to $447K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$316K to $406K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 031200) | $346K | $380K | +9.9% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030703) | $346K | $376K | +8.7% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010202) | $348K | $369K | +6.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 010100) | $347K | $367K | +5.8% | |
| Chicago (Tract 031000) | $350K | $367K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 030900) | $453K | $541K | +19.4% | |
| Chicago area | $841K | $1.00M | +19.0% | |
| Chicago (Tract 030200) | $535K | $629K | +17.6% | |
| Chicago (Tract 071500) | $402K | $471K | +17.1% | |
| Chicago (Tract 061100) | $627K | $735K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago (Tract 020301) | $223K | $235K | $111K | |
| Chicago (Tract 031300) | $172K | $193K | $99K | |
| Chicago (Tract 010702) | $235K | $241K | $98K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020500) | $182K | $190K | $75K | |
| Chicago (Tract 020902) | $124K | $138K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
