What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16065950401 in Rexburg · 83440 · (Tract 9504.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $429,644 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16065950401 in Rexburg · 83440 · (Tract 9504.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $429,644 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.8%.

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Parcel 16065950401 (Rexburg) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 16065950401, Rexburg · 83440 · (Tract 9504.1) Home Price Forecast

Madison, ID · ZIP 83440 · Census Tract 16065950401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$430K

Downside (P10)

$321K

-25% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$463K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$678K

+58% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$313K	$323K	$398K	$402K	$416K	$430K	$438K	$455K	$463K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$117,144	-$106,444	-$31,644	-$28,144	-$13,244		+$8,805	+$25,820	+$33,331
Growth % vs 2026	-27.3%	-24.8%	-7.4%	-6.6%	-3.1%		+2.0%	+6.0%	+7.8%
Downside (P10)							$365K	$348K	$321K
Upside (P90)							$529K	$587K	$678K

Forecast Confidence

58%

Lower Confidence

The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.

Near-term band

$365K to $529K

37.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$321K to $678K

77.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.8% · Spread: 77%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 16065950401, Rexburg · 83440 · (Tract 9504.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).