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Lewis, ID · Census Tract 16061390086 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$554K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.04M
-26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.70M
+20% by 2030
Base case: -26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +20%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $1.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$35,002 | -$258,806 | -$377,036 | -$372,723 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -2.5% | -18.3% | -26.7% | -26.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $837K | $666K | $576K | $554K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$837K to $1.8M
67.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$554K to $1.7M
110.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | -26.4% | |
| Lewis (Tract 391205) | $1.69M | $1.35M | -20.2% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390727) | $1.65M | $1.28M | -22.4% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390109) | $1.57M | $1.12M | -28.9% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390264) | $1.80M | $1.27M | -29.7% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390060) | $1.73M | $1.18M | -32.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | -26.4% | |
| South Lewis | $663K | $712K | +7.4% | |
| Craigmont area | $232K | $236K | +2.0% | |
| Kamiah | $227K | $226K | -0.6% | |
| Lewis (Tract 391205) | $1.69M | $1.35M | -20.2% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390905) | $1.88M | $1.48M | -21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | $1.15M | |
| Lewis (Tract 391027) | $2.22M | $1.56M | $1.01M | |
| Lewis (Tract 390921) | $2.23M | $1.68M | $996K | |
| South Lewis | $663K | $712K | $359K | |
| Kamiah | $227K | $226K | $112K | |
| Craigmont area | $232K | $236K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lewis, ID · Census Tract 16061390086 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$554K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.04M
-26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.70M
+20% by 2030
Base case: -26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +20%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $1.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$35,002 | -$258,806 | -$377,036 | -$372,723 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -2.5% | -18.3% | -26.7% | -26.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $837K | $666K | $576K | $554K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$837K to $1.8M
67.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$554K to $1.7M
110.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | -26.4% | |
| Lewis (Tract 391205) | $1.69M | $1.35M | -20.2% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390727) | $1.65M | $1.28M | -22.4% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390109) | $1.57M | $1.12M | -28.9% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390264) | $1.80M | $1.27M | -29.7% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390060) | $1.73M | $1.18M | -32.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | -26.4% | |
| South Lewis | $663K | $712K | +7.4% | |
| Craigmont area | $232K | $236K | +2.0% | |
| Kamiah | $227K | $226K | -0.6% | |
| Lewis (Tract 391205) | $1.69M | $1.35M | -20.2% | |
| Lewis (Tract 390905) | $1.88M | $1.48M | -21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 390086 | $1.41M | $1.04M | $1.15M | |
| Lewis (Tract 391027) | $2.22M | $1.56M | $1.01M | |
| Lewis (Tract 390921) | $2.23M | $1.68M | $996K | |
| South Lewis | $663K | $712K | $359K | |
| Kamiah | $227K | $226K | $112K | |
| Craigmont area | $232K | $236K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
