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Bonneville, ID · ZIP 83401 · Census Tract 16019971100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$305K
Downside (P10)
$246K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$319K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $109K | $104K | $112K | $132K | $147K | $168K | $238K | $278K | $286K | $305K | $305K | $320K | $319K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$194,777 | -$196,577 | -$201,477 | -$192,777 | -$173,477 | -$158,077 | -$137,077 | -$67,177 | -$27,077 | -$19,077 | -$507 | +$14,665 | +$13,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.8% | -64.4% | -66.0% | -63.2% | -56.8% | -51.8% | -44.9% | -22.0% | -8.9% | -6.3% | -0.2% | +4.8% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $255K | $246K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $369K | $394K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$261K to $369K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$246K to $407K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | +8.5% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970800) | $297K | $321K | +8.1% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971302) | $347K | $369K | +6.3% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971301) | $326K | $346K | +6.1% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | +6.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971000) | $304K | $313K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | +8.5% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970405) | $402K | $471K | +17.4% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | +15.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970401) | $471K | $530K | +12.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970505) | $359K | $402K | +11.9% | |
| Ucon | $408K | $455K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | $191K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971200) | $226K | $250K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970700) | $221K | $241K | $158K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970404) | $258K | $279K | $122K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bonneville, ID · ZIP 83401 · Census Tract 16019971100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$305K
Downside (P10)
$246K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$319K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $109K | $104K | $112K | $132K | $147K | $168K | $238K | $278K | $286K | $305K | $305K | $320K | $319K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$194,777 | -$196,577 | -$201,477 | -$192,777 | -$173,477 | -$158,077 | -$137,077 | -$67,177 | -$27,077 | -$19,077 | -$507 | +$14,665 | +$13,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.8% | -64.4% | -66.0% | -63.2% | -56.8% | -51.8% | -44.9% | -22.0% | -8.9% | -6.3% | -0.2% | +4.8% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $255K | $246K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $369K | $394K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$261K to $369K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$246K to $407K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | +8.5% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970800) | $297K | $321K | +8.1% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971302) | $347K | $369K | +6.3% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971301) | $326K | $346K | +6.1% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | +6.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971000) | $304K | $313K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | +8.5% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970405) | $402K | $471K | +17.4% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | +15.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970401) | $471K | $530K | +12.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970505) | $359K | $402K | +11.9% | |
| Ucon | $408K | $455K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $294K | $319K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | $191K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971200) | $226K | $250K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970700) | $221K | $241K | $158K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970404) | $258K | $279K | $122K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
