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Ada, ID · ZIP 83716 · Census Tract 16001010503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$585K
Downside (P10)
$486K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$863K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $205K | $216K | $239K | $254K | $291K | $322K | $354K | $452K | $519K | $559K | $585K | $591K | $611K | $629K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$379,904 | -$369,104 | -$346,004 | -$330,504 | -$294,304 | -$263,204 | -$231,304 | -$132,804 | -$65,704 | -$25,704 | +$6,043 | +$25,667 | +$44,581 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.0% | -63.1% | -59.2% | -56.5% | -50.3% | -45.0% | -39.5% | -22.7% | -11.2% | -4.4% | +1.0% | +4.4% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $500K | $495K | $486K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $695K | $758K | $863K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$500K to $695K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$486K to $863K
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | +10.7% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% | |
| Meridian | $599K | $679K | +13.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010369) | $594K | $668K | +12.5% | |
| Boise City (Tract 002227) | $607K | $643K | +5.9% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010235) | $584K | $614K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | +10.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010355) | $1.01M | $1.20M | +18.5% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010233) | $969K | $1.15M | +18.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000602) | $804K | $935K | +16.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001201) | $442K | $513K | +16.1% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | $377K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001204) | $339K | $375K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 002318) | $370K | $394K | $176K | |
| Meridian | $382K | $393K | $169K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001100) | $231K | $247K | $146K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Ada, ID · ZIP 83716 · Census Tract 16001010503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$585K
Downside (P10)
$486K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$863K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $205K | $216K | $239K | $254K | $291K | $322K | $354K | $452K | $519K | $559K | $585K | $591K | $611K | $629K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$379,904 | -$369,104 | -$346,004 | -$330,504 | -$294,304 | -$263,204 | -$231,304 | -$132,804 | -$65,704 | -$25,704 | +$6,043 | +$25,667 | +$44,581 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.0% | -63.1% | -59.2% | -56.5% | -50.3% | -45.0% | -39.5% | -22.7% | -11.2% | -4.4% | +1.0% | +4.4% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $500K | $495K | $486K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $695K | $758K | $863K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$500K to $695K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$486K to $863K
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | +10.7% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% | |
| Meridian | $599K | $679K | +13.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010369) | $594K | $668K | +12.5% | |
| Boise City (Tract 002227) | $607K | $643K | +5.9% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010235) | $584K | $614K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | +10.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010355) | $1.01M | $1.20M | +18.5% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010233) | $969K | $1.15M | +18.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000602) | $804K | $935K | +16.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001201) | $442K | $513K | +16.1% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orchard | $569K | $629K | $377K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001204) | $339K | $375K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 002318) | $370K | $394K | $176K | |
| Meridian | $382K | $393K | $169K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001100) | $231K | $247K | $146K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
