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Ada, ID · ZIP 83646 · Census Tract 16001010363 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$493K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$507K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$660K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $350K | $418K | $451K | $492K | $493K | $488K | $510K | $507K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$182,357 | -$143,557 | -$74,957 | -$42,557 | -$1,657 | -$5,848 | +$16,825 | +$13,491 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.0% | -29.1% | -15.2% | -8.6% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $431K | $423K | $405K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $569K | $617K | $660K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$431K to $569K
28.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $660K
50.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | +3.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 002415) | $498K | $571K | +14.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010370) | $488K | $546K | +11.8% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010505) | $495K | $539K | +8.8% | |
| Meridian | $491K | $529K | +7.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010409) | $486K | $504K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | +3.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010355) | $1.01M | $1.20M | +18.5% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010233) | $969K | $1.15M | +18.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000602) | $804K | $935K | +16.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001201) | $442K | $513K | +16.1% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | $255K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001204) | $339K | $375K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 002318) | $370K | $394K | $176K | |
| Meridian | $382K | $393K | $169K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001100) | $231K | $247K | $146K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Ada, ID · ZIP 83646 · Census Tract 16001010363 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$493K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$507K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$660K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $350K | $418K | $451K | $492K | $493K | $488K | $510K | $507K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$182,357 | -$143,557 | -$74,957 | -$42,557 | -$1,657 | -$5,848 | +$16,825 | +$13,491 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.0% | -29.1% | -15.2% | -8.6% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $431K | $423K | $405K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $569K | $617K | $660K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$431K to $569K
28.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $660K
50.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | +3.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 002415) | $498K | $571K | +14.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010370) | $488K | $546K | +11.8% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010505) | $495K | $539K | +8.8% | |
| Meridian | $491K | $529K | +7.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010409) | $486K | $504K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | +3.4% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010355) | $1.01M | $1.20M | +18.5% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010233) | $969K | $1.15M | +18.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000602) | $804K | $935K | +16.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001201) | $442K | $513K | +16.1% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian · 83646 · (Tract 103.63) | $490K | $507K | $255K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001204) | $339K | $375K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 002318) | $370K | $394K | $176K | |
| Meridian | $382K | $393K | $169K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001100) | $231K | $247K | $146K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
