What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16001000305 in Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $456,636 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16001000305 in Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $456,636 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.4%.

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Parcel 16001000305 (Boise City) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 16001000305, Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5) Home Price Forecast

Ada, ID · ZIP 83714 · Census Tract 16001000305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$457K

Downside (P10)

$385K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$490K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$668K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$223K	$261K	$374K	$439K	$452K	$457K	$465K	$483K	$490K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$233,636	-$195,936	-$82,436	-$17,436	-$5,136		+$8,617	+$26,711	+$33,797
Growth % vs 2026	-51.2%	-42.9%	-18.1%	-3.8%	-1.1%		+1.9%	+5.8%	+7.4%
Downside (P10)							$401K	$402K	$385K
Upside (P90)							$549K	$584K	$668K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$401K to $549K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$385K to $668K

57.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.4% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 16001000305, Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).