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Woodbury, IA · ZIP 51109 · Census Tract 19193000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$125K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$178K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $88K | $89K | $88K | $91K | $90K | $96K | $113K | $112K | $119K | $125K | $128K | $132K | $134K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$41,196 | -$36,396 | -$36,196 | -$37,196 | -$34,096 | -$34,896 | -$28,996 | -$11,496 | -$12,996 | -$5,996 | +$3,088 | +$7,170 | +$8,956 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.0% | -29.2% | -29.0% | -29.8% | -27.3% | -28.0% | -23.2% | -9.2% | -10.4% | -4.8% | +2.5% | +5.7% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $106K | $108K | $106K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $152K | $155K | $178K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$106K to $152K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$106K to $178K
53.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | +10.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001000) | $133K | $152K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001300) | $111K | $124K | +12.0% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 003600) | $108K | $120K | +11.0% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000201) | $144K | $157K | +8.6% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001200) | $111K | $118K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | +10.1% | |
| West Fork area | $230K | $279K | +21.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000100) | $89K | $103K | +16.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001000) | $133K | $152K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000800) | $147K | $167K | +13.8% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001300) | $111K | $124K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | $72K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001400) | $100K | $111K | $54K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000100) | $89K | $103K | $54K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 003600) | $108K | $120K | $51K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001500) | $82K | $90K | $50K | |
| Kedron area | $105K | $109K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Woodbury, IA · ZIP 51109 · Census Tract 19193000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$125K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$178K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $88K | $89K | $88K | $91K | $90K | $96K | $113K | $112K | $119K | $125K | $128K | $132K | $134K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$41,196 | -$36,396 | -$36,196 | -$37,196 | -$34,096 | -$34,896 | -$28,996 | -$11,496 | -$12,996 | -$5,996 | +$3,088 | +$7,170 | +$8,956 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.0% | -29.2% | -29.0% | -29.8% | -27.3% | -28.0% | -23.2% | -9.2% | -10.4% | -4.8% | +2.5% | +5.7% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $106K | $108K | $106K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $152K | $155K | $178K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$106K to $152K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$106K to $178K
53.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | +10.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001000) | $133K | $152K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001300) | $111K | $124K | +12.0% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 003600) | $108K | $120K | +11.0% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000201) | $144K | $157K | +8.6% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001200) | $111K | $118K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | +10.1% | |
| West Fork area | $230K | $279K | +21.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000100) | $89K | $103K | +16.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001000) | $133K | $152K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000800) | $147K | $167K | +13.8% | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001300) | $111K | $124K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux City | $122K | $134K | $72K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001400) | $100K | $111K | $54K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 000100) | $89K | $103K | $54K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 003600) | $108K | $120K | $51K | |
| Sioux City (Tract 001500) | $82K | $90K | $50K | |
| Kedron area | $105K | $109K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
