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Webster, IA · ZIP 50501 · Census Tract 19187000400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$159K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$206K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $88K | $94K | $84K | $81K | $84K | $89K | $100K | $119K | $138K | $147K | $155K | $152K | $158K | $159K |
| YoY Change | +6.5% | -10.6% | -3.7% | +4.2% | +5.7% | +13.0% | +18.9% | +15.9% | +6.7% | +5.4% | -2.0% | +4.1% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $132K | $128K | $128K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $193K | $206K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$132K to $180K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$128K to $206K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Dodge · 50501 · (Tract 4) | $150K | $159K | +6.2% | |
| Fort Dodge | $165K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Cooper | $178K | $200K | +12.4% | |
| Colfax area | $172K | $187K | +8.3% | |
| Cooper area | $175K | $187K | +7.2% | |
| Roland area | $162K | $171K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Dodge · 50501 · (Tract 4) | $150K | $159K | +6.2% | |
| Douglas | $94K | $109K | +16.0% | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000700) | $165K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Cooper | $178K | $200K | +12.4% | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000600) | $84K | $94K | +11.2% | |
| Elkhorn area | $119K | $131K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Dodge · 50501 · (Tract 4) | $150K | $159K | $78K | |
| Cooper area (Tract 000200) | $175K | $187K | $78K | |
| Burnside area | $125K | $132K | $77K | |
| Douglas | $94K | $109K | $69K | |
| Cooper area (Tract 000500) | $88K | $93K | $54K | |
| Fort Dodge | $84K | $94K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.