Mahaska, IA · ZIP 50207 · Census Tract 19123950100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$161K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$171K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$233K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +45%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Mahaska markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $117K | $124K | $127K | $121K | $122K | $121K | $132K | $133K | $160K | $161K | $159K | $172K | $171K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +5.6% | +2.9% | -5.2% | +0.9% | -0.3% | +9.2% | +0.4% | +20.2% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +7.9% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $134K | $130K | $130K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $192K | $215K | $233K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$134K to $192K
36.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$130K to $233K
60.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monroe area | $158K | $171K | +8.6% | |
| East Des Moines area | $154K | $167K | +8.2% | |
| Oskaloosa | $152K | $165K | +8.5% | |
| Spring Creek area | $174K | $180K | +3.4% | |
| Prairie area | $186K | $195K | +5.1% | |
| Oskaloosa | $132K | $150K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monroe area | $158K | $171K | +8.6% | |
| Lincoln area | $125K | $143K | +14.7% | |
| Oskaloosa | $132K | $150K | +13.3% | |
| Oskaloosa | $152K | $165K | +8.5% | |
| East Des Moines area | $154K | $167K | +8.2% | |
| Prairie area | $186K | $195K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monroe area | $158K | $171K | $103K | |
| Lincoln area | $125K | $143K | $67K | |
| Oskaloosa | $132K | $150K | $73K | |
| Oskaloosa | $152K | $165K | $75K | |
| Spring Creek area | $174K | $180K | $86K | |
| East Des Moines area | $154K | $167K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.