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Johnson, IA · ZIP 52240 · Census Tract 19103001400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$259K
Downside (P10)
$226K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$280K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$388K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $179K | $182K | $186K | $201K | $203K | $214K | $228K | $250K | $252K | $259K | $268K | $269K | $280K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +8.4% | +0.7% | +5.5% | +6.9% | +9.3% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +3.7% | +0.4% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $228K | $227K | $226K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $301K | $324K | $388K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$228K to $301K
27.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$226K to $388K
58.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa City · 52240 · (Tract 14) | $254K | $280K | +10.2% | |
| Coralville (Tract 000200) | $253K | $295K | +16.3% | |
| North Liberty | $256K | $290K | +13.2% | |
| Iowa City | $248K | $281K | +13.1% | |
| Lincoln area | $246K | $278K | +12.8% | |
| Coralville (Tract 000307) | $257K | $271K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa City · 52240 · (Tract 14) | $254K | $280K | +10.2% | |
| Washington area | $339K | $396K | +16.8% | |
| Coralville (Tract 000200) | $253K | $295K | +16.3% | |
| Iowa City (Tract 000100) | $373K | $434K | +16.1% | |
| Coralville (Tract 000303) | $153K | $176K | +14.6% | |
| Iowa City (Tract 000502) | $407K | $465K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa City · 52240 · (Tract 14) | $254K | $280K | $162K | |
| Iowa City (Tract 001802) | $233K | $264K | $132K | |
| Iowa City (Tract 001700) | $198K | $224K | $116K | |
| Iowa City area | $180K | $194K | $105K | |
| Coralville | $153K | $176K | $71K | |
| Liberty | $86K | $93K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.