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Dubuque, IA · ZIP 52002 · Census Tract 19061010104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$338K
Downside (P10)
$280K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $226K | $237K | $246K | $249K | $264K | $265K | $285K | $302K | $333K | $338K | $348K | $362K | $373K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,118 | -$112,718 | -$101,218 | -$92,018 | -$89,018 | -$74,818 | -$73,218 | -$53,318 | -$36,818 | -$5,618 | +$9,316 | +$23,587 | +$34,115 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -33.3% | -29.9% | -27.2% | -26.3% | -22.1% | -21.6% | -15.8% | -10.9% | -1.7% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +10.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $281K | $276K | $280K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $460K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$281K to $412K
37.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$280K to $491K
56.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | +10.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001103) | $353K | $395K | +11.9% | |
| Prairie Creek area | $332K | $369K | +11.1% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001204) | $332K | $360K | +8.4% | |
| Mosalem area | $366K | $391K | +7.0% | |
| Center | $365K | $371K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | +10.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001202) | $236K | $273K | +15.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000400) | $152K | $174K | +14.4% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000300) | $140K | $158K | +13.5% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000900) | $182K | $206K | +13.3% | |
| New Wine area | $234K | $265K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | $211K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000600) | $160K | $177K | $99K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000300) | $140K | $158K | $99K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000900) | $182K | $206K | $93K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000500) | $124K | $130K | $86K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000100) | $115K | $124K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dubuque, IA · ZIP 52002 · Census Tract 19061010104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$338K
Downside (P10)
$280K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $226K | $237K | $246K | $249K | $264K | $265K | $285K | $302K | $333K | $338K | $348K | $362K | $373K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,118 | -$112,718 | -$101,218 | -$92,018 | -$89,018 | -$74,818 | -$73,218 | -$53,318 | -$36,818 | -$5,618 | +$9,316 | +$23,587 | +$34,115 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -33.3% | -29.9% | -27.2% | -26.3% | -22.1% | -21.6% | -15.8% | -10.9% | -1.7% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +10.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $281K | $276K | $280K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $460K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$281K to $412K
37.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$280K to $491K
56.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | +10.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001103) | $353K | $395K | +11.9% | |
| Prairie Creek area | $332K | $369K | +11.1% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001204) | $332K | $360K | +8.4% | |
| Mosalem area | $366K | $391K | +7.0% | |
| Center | $365K | $371K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | +10.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 001202) | $236K | $273K | +15.7% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000400) | $152K | $174K | +14.4% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000300) | $140K | $158K | +13.5% | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000900) | $182K | $206K | +13.3% | |
| New Wine area | $234K | $265K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuque area | $337K | $373K | $211K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000600) | $160K | $177K | $99K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000300) | $140K | $158K | $99K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000900) | $182K | $206K | $93K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000500) | $124K | $130K | $86K | |
| Dubuque (Tract 000100) | $115K | $124K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
