Buena Vista, IA · ZIP 51002 · Census Tract 19021960200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$116K
Downside (P10)
$95K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$164K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Buena Vista markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $78K | $78K | $78K | $83K | $85K | $83K | $98K | $102K | $112K | $116K | $117K | $119K | $118K | $115K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +6.4% | +2.4% | -2.4% | +18.2% | +3.8% | +10.0% | +3.3% | +1.3% | +1.8% | -1.3% | -2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $100K | $99K | $95K | $101K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $131K | $152K | $164K | $132K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$100K to $131K
26.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$101K to $132K
26.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | +4.9% | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | +5.6% | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | +6.8% | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | +11.2% | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | +1.0% | |
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | +4.9% | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | +11.2% | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | +6.8% | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | +5.6% | |
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | +5.3% | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | $69K | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | $59K | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | $77K | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | $102K | |
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | $116K | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.