What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008947 in Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.47)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $768,091 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008947 in Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.47)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $768,091 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 15003008947 (Waipio) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003008947, Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.47) Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96797 · Census Tract 15003008947 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$768K

Downside (P10)

$610K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$820K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.09M

+42% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$558K	$534K	$642K	$684K	$747K	$768K	$790K	$811K	$820K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$210,591	-$233,791	-$126,291	-$84,191	-$20,891		+$21,893	+$43,328	+$52,056
Growth % vs 2026	-27.4%	-30.4%	-16.4%	-11.0%	-2.7%		+2.9%	+5.6%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$626K	$626K	$610K
Upside (P90)							$930K	$1.0M	$1.1M

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$626K to $930K

38.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$610K to $1.1M

58.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003008947, Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.47) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).