What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008938 in Waipahu · 96797 · (Tract 89.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $374,640 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008938 in Waipahu · 96797 · (Tract 89.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $374,640 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

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Parcel 15003008938 (Waipahu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003008938, Waipahu · 96797 · (Tract 89.38) Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96797 · Census Tract 15003008938 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$375K

Downside (P10)

$316K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$407K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$583K

+55% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$483K	$415K	$418K	$475K	$359K	$375K	$383K	$395K	$407K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$108,260	+$40,360	+$42,960	+$100,360	-$15,840		+$8,325	+$20,006	+$32,270
Growth % vs 2026	+28.9%	+10.8%	+11.5%	+26.8%	-4.2%		+2.2%	+5.3%	+8.6%
Downside (P10)							$316K	$311K	$316K
Upside (P90)							$482K	$516K	$583K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$316K to $482K

43.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$316K to $583K

65.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.6% · Spread: 65%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 15003008938, Waipahu · 96797 · (Tract 89.38) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).