What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003006816 in Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 68.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,047,308 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003006816 in Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 68.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,047,308 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

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Parcel 15003006816 (Urban Honolulu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003006816, Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 68.16) Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96818 · Census Tract 15003006816 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.05M

Downside (P10)

$939K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.11M

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.46M

+40% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$775K	$823K	$1.0M	$1.0M	$1.0M	$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$272,008	-$224,708	-$24,908	-$26,208	-$47,308		+$20,846	+$70,115	+$60,766
Growth % vs 2026	-26.0%	-21.5%	-2.4%	-2.5%	-4.5%		+2.0%	+6.7%	+5.8%
Downside (P10)							$935K	$956K	$939K
Upside (P90)							$1.3M	$1.4M	$1.5M

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$935K to $1.3M

29.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$939K to $1.5M

47.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.8% · Spread: 47%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003006816, Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 68.16) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).