What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003000121 in East Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,076,463 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003000121 in East Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,076,463 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

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Parcel 15003000121 (East Honolulu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003000121, East Honolulu Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96825 · Census Tract 15003000121 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.08M

Downside (P10)

$914K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.14M

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.54M

+43% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$795K	$768K	$911K	$995K	$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$281,763	-$308,663	-$165,863	-$81,863	-$50,463		+$18,390	+$66,122	+$62,697
Growth % vs 2026	-26.2%	-28.7%	-15.4%	-7.6%	-4.7%		+1.7%	+6.1%	+5.8%
Downside (P10)							$969K	$972K	$914K
Upside (P90)							$1.3M	$1.4M	$1.5M

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$969K to $1.3M

27.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$914K to $1.5M

55.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.8% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003000121, East Honolulu on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).