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Gwinnett, GA · ZIP 30518 · Census Tract 13135050114 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$370K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$600K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $265K | $306K | $319K | $337K | $393K | $418K | $423K | $443K | $442K |
| YoY Change | +15.7% | +4.1% | +5.5% | +16.9% | +6.3% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $366K | $370K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $527K | $575K | $600K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$361K to $527K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$370K to $600K
52.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford-Sugar Hill · Buford · (Tract 501.14) | $402K | $442K | +9.8% | |
| Lawrenceville (Tract 050573) | $418K | $449K | +7.5% | |
| Buford-Sugar Hill | $417K | $444K | +6.5% | |
| Lawrenceville (Tract 050579) | $415K | $444K | +6.9% | |
| Lilburn | $415K | $442K | +6.5% | |
| Lawrenceville (Tract 050584) | $422K | $420K | -0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford-Sugar Hill · Buford · (Tract 501.14) | $402K | $442K | +9.8% | |
| Lawrenceville | $334K | $404K | +20.9% | |
| Suwanee-Duluth (Tract 050233) | $466K | $560K | +20.3% | |
| Lilburn | $283K | $336K | +18.9% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek | $410K | $484K | +18.0% | |
| Suwanee-Duluth (Tract 050224) | $496K | $584K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford-Sugar Hill · Buford · (Tract 501.14) | $402K | $442K | $230K | |
| Lawrenceville | $242K | $259K | $101K | |
| Peachtree Corners (Tract 050317) | $232K | $258K | $107K | |
| Lilburn | $177K | $190K | $113K | |
| Snellville-Grayson | $230K | $246K | $134K | |
| Peachtree Corners (Tract 050318) | $233K | $265K | $136K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.