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Dawson, GA · ZIP 30143 · Census Tract 13085970101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$567K
Downside (P10)
$495K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$603K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$721K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $403K | $395K | $456K | $481K | $552K | $567K | $586K | $577K | $603K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$164,549 | -$172,149 | -$110,849 | -$86,449 | -$15,549 | +$19,020 | +$9,607 | +$35,798 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.0% | -30.4% | -19.5% | -15.2% | -2.7% | +3.4% | +1.7% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $498K | $492K | $495K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $633K | $661K | $721K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$498K to $633K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$495K to $721K
37.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970203) | $568K | $600K | +5.6% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970203) | $568K | $600K | +5.6% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | $226K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | $265K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | $232K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | $206K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | $175K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | $151K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dawson, GA · ZIP 30143 · Census Tract 13085970101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$567K
Downside (P10)
$495K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$603K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$721K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $403K | $395K | $456K | $481K | $552K | $567K | $586K | $577K | $603K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$164,549 | -$172,149 | -$110,849 | -$86,449 | -$15,549 | +$19,020 | +$9,607 | +$35,798 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.0% | -30.4% | -19.5% | -15.2% | -2.7% | +3.4% | +1.7% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $498K | $492K | $495K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $633K | $661K | $721K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$498K to $633K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$495K to $721K
37.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970203) | $568K | $600K | +5.6% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970203) | $568K | $600K | +5.6% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawsonville | $559K | $603K | $226K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | $265K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970205) | $413K | $442K | $232K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | $206K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | $175K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | $151K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
