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Chatham, GA · ZIP 31410 · Census Tract 13051011107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$420K
Downside (P10)
$365K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$614K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $247K | $258K | $272K | $305K | $341K | $335K | $337K | $355K | $384K | $402K | $420K | $435K | $466K | $490K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +5.4% | +11.9% | +11.9% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +8.3% | +4.6% | +4.6% | +3.6% | +7.0% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $379K | $364K | $365K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $500K | $604K | $614K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$379K to $500K
27.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$365K to $614K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tybee Island-Wilmington Island | $412K | $490K | +19.1% | |
| Tybee Island-Wilmington Island | $399K | $459K | +15.1% | |
| Savannah (Tract 003000) | $429K | $484K | +12.8% | |
| Savannah (Tract 004001) | $379K | $414K | +9.3% | |
| Savannah (Tract 011500) | $375K | $409K | +9.0% | |
| Pooler-Bloomingdale | $419K | $437K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tybee Island-Wilmington Island | $412K | $490K | +19.1% | |
| Pooler-Bloomingdale area | $275K | $322K | +17.2% | |
| Savannah (Tract 004208) | $196K | $230K | +17.1% | |
| Savannah (Tract 011800) | $815K | $946K | +16.1% | |
| Savannah (Tract 011200) | $868K | $1.01M | +15.9% | |
| Savannah (Tract 003700) | $191K | $220K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tybee Island-Wilmington Island | $412K | $490K | $248K | |
| Savannah (Tract 010503) | $85K | $90K | $60K | |
| Savannah (Tract 011600) | $95K | $105K | $54K | |
| Savannah (Tract 003301) | $96K | $99K | $50K | |
| Savannah (Tract 000601) | $98K | $111K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.