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Volusia, FL · ZIP 32174 · Census Tract 12127080805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$136K
Downside (P10)
$114K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$173K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $73K | $72K | $80K | $83K | $69K | $86K | $126K | $116K | $136K | $136K | $140K | $144K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,635 | -$62,835 | -$63,535 | -$55,435 | -$52,335 | -$67,035 | -$49,535 | -$9,335 | -$19,635 | -$35 | +$3,972 | +$8,413 | +$5,585 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.5% | -46.4% | -46.9% | -40.9% | -38.6% | -49.5% | -36.5% | -6.9% | -14.5% | -0.0% | +2.9% | +6.2% | +4.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $121K | $114K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $155K | $169K | $173K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$121K to $155K
24.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$114K to $173K
41.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | +3.5% | |
| DeBary-Orange City | $150K | $163K | +8.8% | |
| Daytona Beach (Tract 081900) | $115K | $124K | +8.3% | |
| Daytona Beach (Tract 082303) | $150K | $162K | +8.1% | |
| Holly Hill | $157K | $167K | +6.4% | |
| Ormond Beach | $116K | $120K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | +3.5% | |
| Deltona | $289K | $339K | +17.2% | |
| North Peninsula | $319K | $369K | +15.7% | |
| New Smyrna Beach | $279K | $321K | +15.4% | |
| DeLand | $386K | $445K | +15.3% | |
| South Peninsula | $421K | $484K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | $59K | |
| Ormond Beach | $116K | $120K | $62K | |
| Daytona Beach | $95K | $102K | $61K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082513) | $113K | $122K | $57K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082414) | $61K | $68K | $40K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082415) | $52K | $57K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Volusia, FL · ZIP 32174 · Census Tract 12127080805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$136K
Downside (P10)
$114K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$173K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $73K | $72K | $80K | $83K | $69K | $86K | $126K | $116K | $136K | $136K | $140K | $144K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,635 | -$62,835 | -$63,535 | -$55,435 | -$52,335 | -$67,035 | -$49,535 | -$9,335 | -$19,635 | -$35 | +$3,972 | +$8,413 | +$5,585 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.5% | -46.4% | -46.9% | -40.9% | -38.6% | -49.5% | -36.5% | -6.9% | -14.5% | -0.0% | +2.9% | +6.2% | +4.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $121K | $114K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $155K | $169K | $173K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$121K to $155K
24.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$114K to $173K
41.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | +3.5% | |
| DeBary-Orange City | $150K | $163K | +8.8% | |
| Daytona Beach (Tract 081900) | $115K | $124K | +8.3% | |
| Daytona Beach (Tract 082303) | $150K | $162K | +8.1% | |
| Holly Hill | $157K | $167K | +6.4% | |
| Ormond Beach | $116K | $120K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | +3.5% | |
| Deltona | $289K | $339K | +17.2% | |
| North Peninsula | $319K | $369K | +15.7% | |
| New Smyrna Beach | $279K | $321K | +15.4% | |
| DeLand | $386K | $445K | +15.3% | |
| South Peninsula | $421K | $484K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.5) | $136K | $141K | $59K | |
| Ormond Beach | $116K | $120K | $62K | |
| Daytona Beach | $95K | $102K | $61K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082513) | $113K | $122K | $57K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082414) | $61K | $68K | $40K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082415) | $52K | $57K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
