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Volusia, FL · ZIP 32128 · Census Tract 12127083210 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$458K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$501K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$676K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $298K | $334K | $408K | $456K | $458K | $458K | $471K | $483K | $501K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +22.1% | +11.6% | +0.5% | -0.0% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $420K | $402K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $529K | $579K | $676K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$409K to $529K
25.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$402K to $676K
54.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Volusia | $480K | $542K | +12.9% | |
| North Peninsula | $438K | $474K | +8.3% | |
| New Smyrna Beach (Tract 082703) | $460K | $495K | +7.6% | |
| New Smyrna Beach (Tract 082705) | $489K | $511K | +4.4% | |
| Central Volusia area | $438K | $450K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Peninsula | $319K | $369K | +15.7% | |
| New Smyrna Beach (Tract 082902) | $279K | $321K | +15.4% | |
| South Peninsula (Tract 082607) | $421K | $484K | +14.9% | |
| New Smyrna Beach (Tract 083003) | $173K | $199K | +14.8% | |
| South Peninsula (Tract 082604) | $491K | $559K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daytona Beach | $95K | $102K | $61K | |
| Ormond Beach | $136K | $141K | $59K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082513) | $113K | $122K | $57K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082414) | $61K | $68K | $40K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082415) | $52K | $57K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.